While the dollar held steady before the Fed, the yuan has broken below a critical support level.
While the dollar held steady before the Fed, the yuan has broken below a critical support level.
On Friday, demand for the greenback held interest rates on U.S. Treasury bonds at record highs, keeping the dollar at recent highs as investors anticipated the Federal Reserve would need to raise rates further to rein in inflation.
Overnight, due to the strong dollar, the offshore yuan fell below the critical level of seven per dollar for the 1st time in almost two years, reaching a low of 7.035 in Asia trade.
The onshore unit also smashed through the significant barrier early Friday morning, with final trades at 7.009 to the dollar.
According to figures released on Friday, China's economy showed surprisingly resilient in August, with factory output and retail sales climbing more than predicted. But a worsening real estate market has dampened optimism. ."Despite repeated retreats, Maybank analysts say growth and policy differences between the U.S. and China could continue to bolster the USDCNH in the coming months.
The Australian dollar, which acts as a liquid surrogate for the yuan, fell to $0.668 before recovering 0.28 per cent to $0.672.
The New Zealand dollar also hit a low of $0.596, its worst point since May 2020, before recovering 0.23 per cent to $0.598.
The pound dropped 0.3% to $1.147, and the euro gained 0.5% to $0.999.
Next week is packed with crucial monetary policy meetings, including the Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan (BOJ), and the Bank of England.
Yields on U.S. Treasuries went up after reports showed an unexpected increase in U.S. retail sales in August. Meanwhile, according to the Labour Department, initial claims for state unemployment benefits went down by 5,000.
A key indicator of future interest rates, the yield on two-year U.S. Treasuries hit a new high of 3.901 per cent on Friday, the highest level since 2007. According to Fed funds futures, the odds of a rate hike of 75 basis points at next week's meeting are 75%, while the odds of a walk of 100 basis points are 25%.
This might be devastating news for the already struggling Japanese yen, which has been hit hard by the strengthening U.S. dollar and widening interest rate differentials.
However, three sources of the BOJ's thinking have stated that the central bank has no plans to raise interest rates guidelines to support the yen.
The dollar was worth 143.36 yens, down 0.09 per cent from the previous day, but it was still on course for its sixth consecutive weekly gain.
At least in the short run, the dollar's strength will continue. Due to the persistence of these two reasons, market participants are pricing in a highly hawkish Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Moreover, the global growth picture is deteriorating, as noted by Commonwealth Bank of Australia's senior associate for international economics and currency strategy, Carol Kong.
Although the outlook for the global economy is bleak, the U.S. dollar may hold steady or rise somewhat.
U.S. dollar index rose to 109.69, very near its 20-year high of 110.79.
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