The Asian Development Bank cuts Asia's growth forecast.
The Asian Development Bank cuts Asia's growth forecast.
Several factors, including China's zero COVID policy, the conflict in Ukraine, and rising interest rates, led the Asian Development Bank (ADB) to reduce its economic growth prediction for emerging Asia.
The Asian Development Bank has revised its growth projection for the year 2022 down to 4.3%. The bank predicts that developing Asia outside of China will rise by 5.3% in 2022 and 2023.
Although the bank noted an uptick in consumer spending and investment in the region following the removal of pandemic restrictions, it also said that the conflict in Ukraine has heightened global uncertainty, exacerbated supply disruptions, and generated instability in oil and food markets.
The bank noted that rising interest rates in the United States and Europe are dampening global demand and that further obstacles in China are slowing the expansion of the world's second-largest economy.
Due to rising food and energy costs, the bank has increased its projections for inflation to 4.5 percent in 2022 and 4 percent in 2023.
ADB Chief Economist Albert Park warned that risks are high for the region's growing economies despite the steady recovery. According to Park, the demand for exports from the area would be severely hampered by a significant downturn in the global economy.
Instability in the financial markets may result from monetary tightening in advanced economies stronger than predicted. As a result of frequent lock-ups and a struggling real estate market, the People's Republic of China's economic growth is struggling. Governments in Asia's emerging markets should look for these threats and adopt measures to rein in inflation without stifling economic expansion.
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